Tuesday, October 14, 2008

She's Back!

We missed Sarah Palin’s visit to Greenville last week. Apparently she missed us too, so she’s coming back to North Carolina.

Palin will make a campaign stop for a rally in Elon.

Sarah Palin, the Republican vice presidential candidate, will hold a rally Thursday at Elon University.

The rally will include music by country star hank Williams Jr. The event will be held at Latham Park, the university's baseball stadium.

Doors open at noon. The event is free but tickets are required.

Tickets are available at GOP Victory offices beginning today at noon. Looks like we have lunch plans today!

Elon is just up the road from here, much closer than Greenville. Thank you, Sarah. See you in a couple of days. You too, Hank.

Hopefully we'll be able to snap a few pics and maybe get some video to post here late Thursday or Friday. Stay tuned!


HEARTBREAK: We won’t be able to attend after all. We think we might cry. Sorry, Sarah.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

Biden is angry

Joe Biden is mad as hell and he's not going to take it any more.

Biden is Angry

We have no idea what it is exactly that has angered him so.

But we must say how much we are impressed: the form in his one-fingered salute is perfectly executed.

Thursday, October 9, 2008

On my knees

UPDATE: [Oct 10, 8:09PM] Relying on Ed for the update, which he gets from Duane Patterson:

Dean still in fragile state on a breathing machine in ICU. He is very willful and is fighting hard – the doctors are so impressed with him. His downward spiral stopped on Thursday, and we hope that with the continued prayers he will turn a corner this week end. He is in and out of consciousness.

Original post below...



In prayer.

Ed Morrissey puts out the action alert:

My friend Duane “Generalissimo” Patterson tells me that Dean has had to be admitted to the hospital and is currently in the ICU with a terrible attack of his cystic fibrosis. I’d like to ask Hot Air readers for their prayers for my friend and his family. I know they will appreciate the support.

I’ll update you as I hear more.

And I heed it without hesitation.

I only know Dean Barnett through email, but even only through email Dean has had an impact on my life with his wit and humor, his encouragement and his courage.

Ugh.

Welcome to the party, North Carolina

So, as we’ve already had to admit, North Carolina is a battleground state. The polls are volatile and much closer than most people would have expected at this point.

Of course, this means we will be subjected to relentless campaign ads.

John Hinderaker at Powerline says that Obama may be outspending McCain 7 to 1 in North Carolina. We believe it. Just last night we had the tv on in the background when an Obama ad came on. No big deal, really, campaign ads are so ubiquitous that they rarely pierce our consciousness. Except this time, the ad kept going, and going, and going. So we went back and checked by rewinding the DVR.

Obama made a 2 minute ad purchase at 8pm. Egads. We know he knows that he can’t reach us whether it is 30 seconds or two minutes or four score and twenty years. But there are voters he can reach with that kind of air time, we suppose.

But there is something else that comes with the status of battleground state. As Hinderaker points out his post, battleground states attract the efforts of ACORN, the notorious organization who puts great efforts into voter registration, not infrequently running afoul of the law in those efforts.

Hinderaker points out current investigations of fraud by ACORN in states such as Missouri, Nevada, Connecticut (not a battleground state, but the ramped up efforts there probably reflect fears that Joe Lieberman might have been named McCain's VP, putting the state in play), Ohio, and Wisconsin. Michelle Malkin also points out Indiana. And don’t forget about New Mexico.

And with North Carolina's induction into the club of battleground states, you know what that means.

Welcome to the party, North Carolina. (h/t Freerepublic)

Republican National Committee officials on Friday blasted a group that's registering voters in Durham, calling it "a quasi-criminal, Democratic-affiliated organization" that represents a danger to the electoral process.

The move by RNC Chief Counsel Sean Cairncross and Communications Director Danny Diaz followed a Herald-Sun report that Durham County Board of Elections Director Mike Ashe wants state officials to check about 80 voter registration forms for possible fraud.

The forms came from a group called the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now. The group is more commonly known by its acronym, ACORN.

Cairncross said RNC officials "commend the vigilance" Ashe showed, and will continue to monitor the situation. He added that ACORN is "a malignant organization" with a long track record of vote-fraud transgressions. …

Ashe's move this week came after elections officials discovered that ACORN workers had registered a 14-year-old, claiming the youth was born in 1989. The minimum voting age is 18.

They also knew of "less than half a dozen" people who, after receiving a formal notice from the board telling them they'd registered, got in touch with officials to say they'd never filled out a registration form, Ashe said.

In addition, election workers also noticed that ACORN-submitted registration forms so far have included up to 125 duplicate names. It appeared that ACORN registrars -- who are paid and subject to a per-shift quota -- were using the same names repeatedly, Ashe said.

"I got like 15 Brenda Greens," Ashe said. "We're starting to get enough now that the names are looking familiar." ...

Cairncross said ACORN has figured in vote-fraud allegations in past elections in Washington, Missouri and Pennsylvania. Registrars from the group have faced criminal charges in all of those states.

The group's misconduct is "widescale [and] nationwide," he added.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Hey! I know you!

Some of you may remember these two posts about Audrey Caroline Smith, here and here.

If not, here is the story.

Heartbreaking.

Well. Tonight, I'm watching the debate and there he is -- Todd Smith -- the father of Audrey Caroline. He was selected to be in the audience at the Presidential debate at Belmont University in Nashville between McCain and Obama.

Amazing.

Here's the debate story from the Smiths...

And what's more, today is the six month anniversary of Audrey Caroline's birth and death. In rememberence, here is the song Todd and Angie wrote to honor and remember Audrey Caroline:

What a family.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Team McCain's Magic Quadrant

Earlier we had a post showing Team Obama's Magic Quadrant Breakdown of Election 2008.

Now for the Magic Quadrant of the election as seen by the Republicans. The GOP uses the traditional Magic Quadrant definitions for each axis, Ability to Execute and Completeness of Vision, with the overall measure being who can bring reform to Washington (original Magic Quadrants were developed by research and consulting firm Gartner).

In choosing Sarah Palin, John McCain has made clear that his overarching theme is one of government reform, trying to steal the rug out from under Obama on "change".

Who has brought about reform in government? Who has worked in bi-partisan ways to bring change? Who has bucked their own party to get things done?

For our purposes here, we will focus on the least known of the candidates, letting Beldar present the case for Palin as an accomplished reformer.



Saturday, October 4, 2008

Palin-Biden debate, more than words

Well, here we go.

According to CNN, Sarah Palin spoke at a higher grade level than Joe Biden.

(CNN) -- An analysis carried out by a language monitoring service said Friday that Gov. Sarah Palin spoke at a more than ninth-grade level and Sen. Joseph Biden spoke at a nearly eighth-grade level in Thursday night's debate between the vice presidential candidates. ...

Grade level: Biden, 7.8; Palin, 9.5 (Newspapers are typically written to a sixth-grade reading level.)

Sentences per paragraph: statistically tied at 2.7 for Biden and 2.6 for Palin.

Letters per word: tied at 4.4.

Ease of reading: Biden, 66.7 (with 100 being the easiest to read or hear), versus 62.4 for Palin.

Perhaps most intriguing, our word count differs markedly from that in the article -- and contra our count has Biden out-wording Palin.

Baffling.

And while we are most certainly not a global language monitoring service expert, Google Docs does provide some Grammar Tools. Based upon the transcript we have used, here's what it has to say:

Biden:
Flesch Reading Ease: 74.43
Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level: 6.00

Palin:
Flesch Reading Ease: 69.65
Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level: 7.00

Matches up at least fairly well with the global language monitoring service expert.

And from wikipedia, a little background on the Flesch Reading Ease score and the Flesch-Kincaid Gradel Level score:

The Flesch/Flesch–Kincaid Readability Tests are readability tests designed to indicate comprehension difficulty when reading a passage of contemporary academic English. There are two tests, the Flesch Reading Ease, and the Flesch–Kincaid Grade Level. Although they use the same core measures (word length and sentence length), they have different weighting factors, so the results of the two tests correlate imperfectly: a text with a higher score on the Reading Ease test over another text may have a lower score on the Grade Level test. Both systems were devised by Rudolf Flesch.

In the Flesch Reading Ease test, higher scores indicate material that is easier to read; lower numbers mark more-difficult-to-read passages.

The "Flesch–Kincaid Grade Level Formula" translates the 0–100 score to a U.S. grade level, making it easier for teachers, parents, librarians, and others to judge the readability level of various books and texts.

We have no idea how much a global language monitoring service charges someone like CNN to perform their service -- but we would have done it for much cheaper.

But then again, if we got the word count wrong (and we have no reason to think the global language monitoring service expert is wrong, and the error could have been ours or the transcript from which we were working), then perhaps CNN spent the money wisely.

[VIMH: Are you going to go back and check your word count?]
It is under consideration.

UPDATE: We went back and did a recount. There were some dimpled chads, including one section that was clearly Biden speaking, though labeled as Palin. New totals...

Palin: 7520 (vs 7734 in first count)
Biden: 7183 (vs 7419 in the first count)

What accounts for the difference other than the misattribution? Well, the transcript has been updated, with a few notes in the current version. We have no idea what changed and how that may or may not have affected the counts.

As to the word counts in the CNN article, which not only indicate that Biden spoke more words than Palin, but also indicates a couple thousand fewer words by each candidate, we have no idea what the difference is. Perhaps they didn't count opening and closing statements?

It will continue as a mystery...

Your best bet, though, will probably be to trust the global language monitoring expert. He doesn't get paid the big bucks for nothing.

Friday, October 3, 2008

Palin-Biden debate, just words

Here are some stats and graphics from tonight's VP debate between Sarah Palin and Joe Biden, using this transcript.

First, how many words did each candidate speak in the debate?

  • Sara Palin: 7,734
  • Joe Biden: 7,419

  • (UPDATE: see updated numbers in this post)

    We won't pretend we aren't surprised that Sarah Palin got more words in than Joe Biden. We wish we had placed a very large bet in Vegas on this, surely those would have been very, very good odds.

    Second, here are word clouds created from the transcript for each candidate.

    Biden:

    Biden VP Debate Word Cloud

    Palin:

    Palin VP Debate Word Cloud

    (click images to enlarge)

    UPDATE: OK, yeah, she asked for it...how many words did Gwen Ifill speak in the debate?

  • Gwen Ifil: 1,734

    And the word cloud?

    Ifill:

    Gwen Ifill VP Debate Word Cloud

    All word clouds created with Wordle

  • Thursday, October 2, 2008

    We’ve got good news and bad news

    The bad news? The once safe status of North Carolina for McCain-Palin is now out the window. It’s a battleground state, with state polls heading in Obama’s favor in the last few weeks.

    The good news? That means Sarah Palin gets dispatched to our state. And here to Greensboro!

    GREENSBORO -- Vice presidential nominee Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will attend a fundraiser event on Oct. 16 in Greensboro, according to Joe Hauck at the New Breed Company in Greensboro.

    The bad news? The fundraiser is probably not open to the public.

    The event, which most likely won't be open to the public, will be held at the home of Louis DeJoy, president of Greensboro logistics company New Breed, the News and Record reported. DeJoy is the state finance chair for the McCain/Palin ticket.

    The good news? She’s coming back to the state for a rally!

    Palin is also scheduled to make another swing through the Tarheel state leading up to Election Day in November.

    The bad news? The rally is at Eastern Carolina University, in Greenville, three hours away in the middle of the week.

    She will be attending a rally on the campus of East Carolina on Tuesday, McCain campaign officials confirmed.

    The good news?

    ...

    Well, we'll try and come up with something.

    To be able to skip work and make the rally!

    The rigors of spacing

    Here's a billboard on our commute to work, near our office.

    Obama-Biden Billboard

    In fact, you can see it from some of the windows in our building. This picture, however, was taken on our way home from work yesterday. Impressive, don't you think?

    [VIMH: Impressive? You think that billboard is impressive?]
    No, not the billboard - rather, our ability to multitask at 50 mph, operating both a vehicle and a camera with the absence of crashing and minimal blurring.

    The billboard on the other hand? Well, watch that spacing*, folks!

    The Emperor Has No Clothes takes on a whole new, and altogether disturbing meaning.

    --------------------
    *Yes, we've made that joke before, see the "sly commenter" suggestion at this JustOneMinute post. In fact, that was our first ever comment at JOM. We were quite shy then. We've managed to come out of our shell a little bit since.


    Wednesday, October 1, 2008

    Eerie coincidence?

    Via Greg Pollowitz, it seems Gwen Ifill (who is under considerable scrutiny about her to-be-released-on-inauguration-day pro-Obama book, given that she is to moderate Thursday’s debate between Joe Biden and Sarah Palin) has taken a fall and broken her ankle.

    First On TVNewser: PBS' Gwen Ifill has broken her ankle after tripping and falling down stairs at her home last night, a NewsHour insider tells TVNewser. We're told Ifill had been walking up a staircase, carrying research related to her moderating duties at Thursday's Vice Presidential debate in St. Louis, when she took a wrong step.

    Staircase
    in own home
    falling while carrying research papers
    breaking her ankle.

    Wait a second.

    That sounds familiar.

    Wasn’t there another big name media personality who suffered a similar accident, not long before he was to make a controversial appearance?

    Why yes. Yes there was.

    "[Tim] Russert broke his right ankle Tuesday night while playing with his mutt, Buster the Wonder Dog. Buster and his owner were chasing each other on a stairwell inside the house when the 'Meet the Press' host -- carrying research papers and dry cleaning -- tripped and fell..."

    Stairwell
    in own home
    falling while carrying research papers
    breaking his ankle.

    And that was not too long before the Scooter Libby trial, for which Russert showed up on crutches for his testimony that played a central role in the trial.

    Conspiracists may want to do more with this. We’ll file it under 'Eerie Coincidence'.

    Not such a good reason afterall

    Say, Obama, what was that you said again about why you would be a good president?

    Obama, September 22nd on 60 Minutes:

    KROFT (voice-over): This week, during the biggest economic meltdown since the Great Depression, the candidates were forced to stop playing politics and to start talking about some of the major issues in this campaign. And 60 MINUTES was with both of them.

    (on camera): Why do you think you’d be a good president?

    OBAMA: Well, I think that when you think about the challenges we face, these are challenges that require us to look forward and not backwards.

    (CROSSTALK)

    KROFT: Why you? I mean, why do you think you would be a good president?

    OBAMA: Well, I was going to get to that.

    KROFT: Go ahead.

    OBAMA: You know, I’m a, I’m a practical person. One of the things I’m good at is getting people in a room with a bunch of different ideas who sometimes violently disagree with each other and finding common ground and a sense of common direction.

    Yes He Can!

    Or, uh...

    Obama, September 30th on ABC:

    "I don't think me calling House Republican members would have been that helpful, I tend not to be that persuasive on that side of the aisle," he said.

    Oh.

    So, THE reason he gives Steve Kroft as to why he would be a good president … goes under the bus.

    No He Can’t!

    So, Obama, were you lying to Steve Kroft and to us on 60 minutes? Or is it just that the events of last week have brought about this new revelation?

    Of course, it is possible you are lying to ABC and to us now. But somehow we find you utterly believable when you tell us you are no bipartisan savior.

    Thursday, September 25, 2008

    Road trip

    We will be traveling the rest of the week, blogging will be light.

    Maybe non-existent.

    In fact, we're heading to Washington D.C. today.

    But not at the behest of John McCain.

    As far as you know.

    Wednesday, September 24, 2008

    More than just a slogan

    John McCain is suspending his campaign to return to Washington to deal with the financial crisis:

    America this week faces an historic crisis in our financial system. We must pass legislation to address this crisis. If we do not, credit will dry up, with devastating consequences for our economy. People will no longer be able to buy homes and their life savings will be at stake. Businesses will not have enough money to pay their employees. If we do not act, ever corner of our country will be impacted. We cannot allow this to happen.

    Last Friday, I laid out my proposal and I have since discussed my priorities and concerns with the bill the Administration has put forward. Senator Obama has expressed his priorities and concerns. This morning, I met with a group of economic advisers to talk about the proposal on the table and the steps that we should take going forward. I have also spoken with members of Congress to hear their perspective.

    It has become clear that no consensus has developed to support the Administration’s proposal. I do not believe that the plan on the table will pass as it currently stands, and we are running out of time.

    Tomorrow morning, I will suspend my campaign and return to Washington after speaking at the Clinton Global Initiative. I have spoken to Senator Obama and informed him of my decision and have asked him to join me.

    Why? Well, for all the reasons of political advantage, of course.

    But that's not all. As ABC reported this morning, Congress seems paralyzed, waiting for McCain to act:

    ABC News' George Stephanopoulos reports: If Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain doesn't vote for the Bush administration's $700 billion economic bailout plan, some Republican and Democratic congressional leaders tell ABC News the plan won't pass.

    "If McCain doesn't come out for this, it's over," a Top House Republican tells ABC News.

    A Democratic leadership source says that White House Chief of Staff Josh Bolten has been told that Democratic votes will not be there if McCain votes no -- that there is no deal if McCain doesn't go along.

    And here in video:

    Charlie Gibson: "So this really rests on McCain's shoulders?"

    George Stephanopoulous: "And it's not a free vote for him Charlie...if he goes no, this package will likely fail and he will bear the consequence for that."

    So in suspending his campaign, McCain rises to the challenge, and rides in to the rescue.

    But now Harry Reid isn't so sure:

    A Democrat tells ABC News that in a phone call late this afternoon, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., told Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., that it would NOT be helpful for him to come back to Washington, DC, to work on the Wall Street bailout bill.

    McCain this afternoon suspended his campaign and said he would skip the first presidential debate in order to return to Capitol Hill to work on the log jammed Bush administration legislation, which as of Wednesday afternoon was in peril. ...

    McCain had phoned Reid to ask about the prospects of him, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and others to sit down and work together on hammering out a bipartisan proposal.

    "Sorry," Reid said to him, a Democrat close to Reid says.

    Apparently McCain's campaign slogan of "Country First" is more than just a slogan, while Democrats like Reid have no idea how to operate outside of slogans, none of which include the idea of putting country first.

    And yes, we'll probably hear, "He'd rather lose and election to save the economy, than win an election and lose the economy" more than a few times in the coming days and weeks.

    As a slogan? Sure, no doubt.

    But does McCain mean it outside of just a slogan? We think so.

    Congress wants to put the weight of the world on his shoulders to lessen their collective burden in this crisis, and McCain is saying in response:

    I’ve been an imperfect servant of my country for many years. But I have been her servant first, last and always. ...

    I’m not running for president because I think I’m blessed with such personal greatness that history has anointed me to save our country in its hour of need. My country saved me. My country saved me, and I cannot forget it. And I will fight for her for as long as I draw breath, so help me God.

    Tuesday, September 23, 2008

    Biden and pit bulls, part five

    Danger is his middle name:

    If you want to know where Al Qaeda lives, you want to know where Bin Laden is, come back to Afghanistan with me," Biden said. "Come back to the area where my helicopter was forced down, with a three-star general and three senators at 10,500 feet in the middle of those mountains. I can tell you where they are..."

    He was forced down by global warming a snow storm.

    OK, no rest for the weary!

    You know what they say the difference is between a pit bull and Joe Biden?

    One yanks on his chain when you take him for a walk.

    And the other yanks your chain thinking you won't notice ... or won't care because, "heh, that's our Joe".

    Previously...

    One has a diet consisting of dog food.

    And the other dines consistently on his size 12 loafers.

    ...

    One is by nature a creature that needs to be kept on a very tight and short leash.

    And the other licks its own privates.

    ...

    One is a relentless attack dog who can be trained to take out your enemies.

    And the other is a six term Senator who can be counted on to bite the hand that feeds him.

    ...

    You need a muzzle to shut one of them up.

    And the other you need to let outside to go poop.

    Biden and pit bulls, part four

    Biden, on what makes a leader:

    "Part of what being a leader does is to instill confidence is to demonstrate what he or she knows what they are talking about and to communicating to people ... this is how we can fix this," Biden said. "When the stock market crashed, Franklin Roosevelt got on the television and didn't just talk about the princes of greed. He said, 'look, here's what happened.'"

    Now we would hate to say that Biden doesn't act the part of a leader and instills no confidence.

    But he leaves us no choice.

    Roosevelt, the stock market crash and televisions? Captain Ed helps demonstrate that Biden does not know what he is talking about.

    And away we go...

    You know what they say the difference is between a pit bull and Joe Biden?

    One has a diet consisting of dog food.

    And the other dines consistently on his size 12 loafers.

    Previously…

    One is by nature a creature that needs to be kept on a very tight and short leash.

    And the other licks its own privates.

    ...

    One is a relentless attack dog who can be trained to take out your enemies.

    And the other is a six term Senator who can be counted on to bite the hand that feeds him.

    ...

    You need a muzzle to shut one of them up.

    And the other you need to let outside to go poop.


    Biden is no pit bull, part three

    Here’s Biden’s latest:

    Biden was asked by a voter: "Wind and solar are flourishing here in Ohio, so why are you supporting clean coal?"

    Biden replied: "We're not supporting 'clean coal.' Guess what. China's building two every week. Two dirty coal plants. And it's polluting the United States. It's causing people to die. ... China is burning three hundred years of bad coal unless we figure out how to clean their coal up. Because it's going to ruin your lungs and there's nothing we can do about it. No coal plants here in America. Build them, if they're going to build them over there make 'em clean because they're killing you."

    Of course, that’s not exactly on message in terms of Obama's clean coal position. Of course. Of course. It's Biden afterall.

    OK, so this list will undoubtedly grow by leaps and bounds should Biden continue to be allowed to access to a microphone … so we are going to keep a running list.

    You know what they say the difference is between a pit bull and Joe Biden?

    One is by nature a creature that needs to be kept on a very tight and short leash.

    And the other licks its own privates.

    Previously…

    One is a relentless attack dog who can be trained to take out your enemies.

    And the other is a six term Senator who can be counted on to bite the hand that feeds him.

    You need a muzzle to shut one of them up.

    And the other you need to let outside to go poop.

    Fall in line, Joe

    Biden with Katie Couric:

    Asked about the negative tone of the campaign, and this ad in particular, during an interview broadcast Monday by the "CBS Evening News," Obama's running mate, Sen. Joe Biden, said he disapproved of it.

    "I thought that was terrible, by the way," Biden said.

    Asked why it was done, he said: "I didn't know we did it and if I had anything to do with it, we'd have never done it."

    A momentary lapse by Biden, of course. Biden was quickly reminded that he doesn’t have to fall in love with Team Obama ads, he just has to fall in line:

    [I]n the statement issued by the Obama campaign, Biden said he had never seen the ad and only read press reports of it.

    "Having now reviewed the ad, it is even more clear to me that given the disgraceful tenor of Senator McCain's ads and their persistent falsehoods, his campaign is in no position to criticize," Biden said in the statement.

    We paraphrased Sarah Palin’s pit bull joke last week in the football fan post. We tried to be generous and speak generally of politicians, rather than singling out Joe Biden.

    But we simply cannot cover for him any longer. So…

    You know what they say the difference is between a pit bull and Joe Biden?

    You need a muzzle to shut one of them up.

    And the other you need to let outside to go poop.

    We could probably also add another line of thought…

    One is a relentless attack dog who can be trained to take out your enemies.

    And the other is a six term Senator who can be counted on to bite the hand that feeds him.

    Monday, September 22, 2008

    Moving toward a post-racial view of the election?

    From Ed Lasky at American Thinker, we have some really amazing breaking news from the campaign:

    "Obama's name and his African heritage are obstacles to the party's chances of capturing the White House, party activists are finding," Dave Davies reports in the Philadelphia Daily News. "I'm hearing a lot of people saying, 'He's too young, he's too inexperienced,' " said Philadelphia AFL-CIO President Pat Eiding. "What they're really saying is, 'He's black.'

    Taking a look back at our depiction of Team Obama's Magic Quadrant Breakdown of Election 2008, we are reminded that Palin and Obama share the same lower left quadrant on the measures of age and experience. Our point was that Team Obama uses different descriptors of that quadrant...for Obama it is “Untainted and Vigorous Agent of Change and Deliverer of Hope”. For Palin, it is “Lightweight Neophyte”.

    But now, if young and inexperienced really means black...well...

    You know what it means when this is Team Obama’s first reaction to Sarah Palin’s selection:

    Today, John McCain put the former mayor of a town of 9,000 with zero foreign policy experience a heartbeat away from the presidency.

    What Team Obama Is Really Saying Is, ‘Sarah Palin Is Black’.

    Not only that, but 'Palin' is a funny name, and she certainly doesn’t look like the other Presidents on the dollar bills.

    Saturday, September 20, 2008

    Surrogates gone wild

    Ruth Marcus in the Washington Post takes up the cause of ending the Surrogate Wars:

    Both candidates should declare a surrogate cease-fire. Surrogates are the loose nukes of political campaigns, except more likely to detonate. To be precise, more likely to detonate themselves. Campaigns are the collateral damage. The toxic fallout wafts over cable shows for days. Surrogates create an atmosphere of Mutually Assured Embarrassment -- without the deterrent effect.

    Surrogates have always played a campaign role, but the 24/7 news cycle of cable TV amplified by the Internet has made them more ubiquitous, and therefore more dangerous, than ever. How many times during this race have candidates’ messages been forced off-track by a surrogate gone astray? As with weaponry, the question becomes: are they worth the risk? Can a rational campaign safely bet that its surrogates are more likely to hit the target than the other sides’?

    The 2008 Surrogate Wars suggest not. ...

    Yes, I hear you saying, pitifully naïve. Given a choice between having a serious discussion about state regulation of insurance and Carly casually mentioning Viagra, we in the media are going to go for the Viagra every time. So out with the appeals to elevated discourse; in with the argument for enlightened self-interest. Campaign managers: You get antsy about outside groups weighing in on their side because it interferes with your message. Well, your surrogates are doing the same. Force cable to focus on what your candidate is saying (not that he’s always on message) or dredge up another “strategist” no one’s ever heard of. Ditch the surrogates.

    We took a look at surrogate follies back in August (”Speak for yourself”), agreeing with a Huffington Post writer that the surrogate battles are out of control.

    And we agree with Marcus today.

    Our suggestion back in August, or really our lament, was that Town Halls between both candidates could help reduce the 24/7 media’s reliance on surrogates to fill airtime, allowing more direct coverage of the candidates directly engaging one another.

    But of course, for every town hall or debate, the 24/7 media coverage would rely on surrogates to battle it out over who can spin their candidate’s performance as being superior. So maybe town halls wouldn’t solve the problem.

    And really, even if formal campaign surrogates were to be banished, we would still be left with the overwhelming presence of Obama’s informal network of surrogates, the media themselves.

    So what to do?

    Joint town halls are still the answer. As is any other venue in which Obama can be presented with an opportunity to speak without a teleprompter.