Thursday, May 17, 2012

FACT CHECK: Does North Carolina Look Like Mississippi?

FACT CHECK: On May 8, North Carolina held its primary elections. By an overwhelming 61-39 margin, voters in the state approved the amendment defining marriage as between one man and one woman. As a result of that vote, the state's Democratic Governor Beverly Perdue said it made North Carolina look like Mississippi.

Does North Carolina, in fact, look like Mississippi when it comes to how it votes?

Rasmussen Reports released a poll yesterday showing Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney opening up a 51-43 lead over President Barack Obama among likely voters.

That's not exactly like Mississippi.

Republican John McCain won Mississippi with 56 percent of the vote in the 2008 presidential election.

However, in the 2008 election, then Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama picked up 43 percent of the vote in Mississippi - which does match the Rasmussen poll released yesterday.

President Obama's current polling in North Carolina looks exactly like his election results in Mississippi in the 2008 presidential election.

Also, currently Mississippi has a Republican Governor, Phil Bryant, while North Carolina Governor Perdue is a Democrat. However, Governor Perdue has elected not to seek reelection in 2012, due primarily to her abysmal poll ratings and general consensus that she would have no shot at winning a second term. The most recent polling puts Republican nominee Pat McCrory ahead by 6 points. While it is not guaranteed, most observers consider it likely that after November, North Carolina will increasingly look like Mississippi in terms of which party occupies the Governor's office.

So does North Carolina look like Mississippi when it comes to how it votes, as Governor Perdue claimed?

We rate Perdue's statement, inadvertently mostly true, but incomplete.

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