Wednesday, April 23, 2008

It's a monthly thing

Don Surber notes that Hillary now leads Obama in the popular vote – if – Florida and Michigan are included.


Clinton 15,095,663
Obama 14,973,720

For those keeping score at home, that’s a lead of 121,943 for Hillary.

It seems unfair to include Michigan, even in this hypothetical game, since Obama got zero votes because he wasn’t on the ballot. But there is little in the Democratic primary that meets the basic standards of fairness, so we’ll note the problem and move on.

Here’s another way to look at the race, using the figures from RCP:

Hillary won January:


Clinton 1,452,689
Obama 975,927

Hillary net 476,672

Obama won Februrary:


Clinton 9,381,226
Obama 10,176,125

Obama net 794,859

Hillary won March and April:


Clinton 4,261,708
Obama 3,821,668

Hillary net 440,040

Call it momentum. Or, if you are Mickey Kaus, mutnemom.

But whatever you call it, Hillary appears to have an advantage with that monthly thing.

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